USDA Projects Steady Growth in U.S. Dairy Production 2026
The U.S. Department of Agriculture has released their Dairy Production Projections for 2026.
The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) has announced its projections for dairy production through the year 2026, indicating a steady growth in milk output. According to USDA Livestock Analyst Anthony Fischer, the growth in milk production has been consistent, although there has been a slight slowdown in recent years.
Fischer said, “Milk output continues to grow. It’s appeared to slow down a bit in recent years, but the trend is pretty steady. Milk output per cow growth is expected to continue into 2026 as farmers take advantage of genetic advancements and improved herd management. The steady growth in output has helped farmers manage milk production during times of weather disruptions and (Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza) HPAI-related decreases to output per cow, specifically in California in the first quarter of last year.”
In terms of milk components, Fischer highlighted that these are mirroring the growth in milk output per cow. The most recent quarterly milk fat percentage was recorded at 4.44%, marking a record high for all quarters. This trend reflects both genetic advancements and a shift in consumer preferences towards dairy products over fluid milk.
Fischer added that the milk fat percentage is expected to rise further by 2026, driven by increased output per cow and a dairy herd that is stabilizing rather than expanding rapidly. Seasonal patterns are anticipated to remain consistent, with an increase in milk production typically seen during the spring flush in the second quarter this year.